American Idol - Prediction

Could it be? Could tonight be the shock elimination we've all been waiting for?
Now whether or not something is "shocking" is really a matter of perspective:
Most shocking: Soul Patrol (considered the one with the most fans -- but did they vote?)
Moderately shocking: Daughtry (will the powers that be let go of the chosen one?)
Somewhat shocking: E-Train (with regards to last night's performance, yes -- with regards to elimination predictability pecking order, no)
Questionably shocking: McPheever (being the weakest on Elvis night, fans will easily accept this result -- unless you were brainwashed a couple of weeks ago that Katharine had once upon a time the most number of votes)
I don't really know what will happen, but I do know that we are ripe for at least one jaw-dropping results night. It hasn't happened yet, and it's a yearly Idol tradition: we must expect the unexpected. I would be most shocked at Daughtry getting the boot, and would eat my brand new Sony Ericsson phone if that happens. Hahaha. Or poke my right eye whichever's easier.
But my money is still on Elliott leaving -- although for the sake of all that is good in the world I hope it doesn't happen.
So who will be eliminated next?
Discuss!